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Home » News » News » Shock Election Forecast Gives Trump 11 Point Lead Over Harris
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Shock Election Forecast Gives Trump 11 Point Lead Over Harris

Seamus OthotBy Seamus OthotSeptember 26, 2024Updated:September 26, 20248 Comments2 Mins Read1K Views
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Former President Donald Trump has a nearly 11-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris, according to an eye-popping new analysis from the British outlet The Daily Mail.

“State-by-state numbers all show the Blue Wall of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan tilting towards Trump, giving him the overall advantage when it comes to winning the White House,” said the Daily Mail.

The analysis gives President Trump a 55.2 percent chance of victory and Vice President Harris a 44.6 percent chance of claiming the White House as of Monday.

The Daily Mail considers historical election data, current factors including which party is currently in power, the economy, and approval ratings, and combines that information with an analysis of national and state polls.

In their model, Harris saw a boost in her electoral chances after her debate with Trump on ABC, which had biased moderators.

[RELATED: Report: Alleged ABC News Employee Swears in Affidavit Harris Campaign Struck Deal for Favorable Debate Treatment…]

That lead has since evaporated, and Trump pulled ahead over the weekend with his numbers trending upward.

Currently, the Daily Mail estimates that Trump will earn 287 electoral votes and Harris will take 251, but nevertheless considers the race a toss-up.

Harris is nevertheless favored to win the popular vote by a small margin, with an estimated 50.8 percent support.

The data shows a rapidly shifting race where small factors can decide which candidate takes the lead in a matter of days.

Though Trump is currently on top, the race is far from settled, and any number of factors could turn the tables and place Harris on top, or skyrocket Trump to a second White House term.

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Seamus Othot

Seamus Othot is a reporter for The Maine Wire. He grew up in New Hampshire, and graduated from The Thomas More College of Liberal Arts, where he was able to spend his time reading the great works of Western Civilization. He can be reached at [email protected]

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bill in Bangor
bill in Bangor
1 year ago

I’d like to believe this is a fair assessment but at least one out of every two voters appears to be under some sort of spell that disassociates Harris from the results of her actions of the past 3.6 years as Vice President.

9
sandy
sandy
1 year ago

Keep your foot on the accelerator, never let up

2
mark violette
mark violette
1 year ago

No matter who wins, Smart people will still be smart. Dumb people will still be dumb and will pay for everything

2
Lee Ho Fook
Lee Ho Fook
1 year ago

Someone should mail flyers to addresses with H/W signs informing them how they can connect with charitable originations that will bring instate immigrants to live with them till better accommodations can be found. Bueller, Bueller? Bet a lot of those signs would disappear overnight.

7
Benny Weaver
Benny Weaver
1 year ago

Hopefully people are waking up to the fact that Kamala Harris is a complete incompetent and NOT capable of being our president .
She went from being a feckless VP who spent her time at sorority luncheons and making cameo interviews with far left influencers , to hiding out from reporters . She was a lousy VP . The worst .
Now she wants the dim witted , and low information, hope and joy crowd , to believe she can handle the presidency . Do not be fooled . Barack Obama and his crew of ideologues will take even more control than than they had with Biden . Barack Obama runs Washington DC . That’s why he never left .
Anyone who thinks Joe Biden knows what day it is , and that Kamala can run the country is a fool .

5
Moms for FJM
Moms for FJM
1 year ago

“US warships targeted by ballistic missiles and drones from Iran proxies with the Middle East on the brink of ‘all-out’ war”. Liberals, who do you want running the country when your children are sent to war?

5
B.Evens down to the farm
B.Evens down to the farm
1 year ago

Of course they want kackles. Liberals with children are still mad that they didn’t abort. This should take care of everything nicely.

3
Mike Grove
Mike Grove
1 year ago

I guess women are not allowed to vote this year.

0
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