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Home » News » News » New Hampshire in Play for Trump: NH Journal Poll
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New Hampshire in Play for Trump: NH Journal Poll

Seamus OthotBy Seamus OthotOctober 28, 2024Updated:October 28, 20241 Comment3 Mins Read1K Views
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Former Republican President Donald Trump has a slight lead over Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in New Hampshire as Election Day approaches, according to a new poll, suggesting that the New England state is in play.

The poll conducted by Praecones Analytica and the New Hampshire Journal found that Trump has less than a one-point lead over Harris in NH, with 50.2 percent backing him compared with 49.8 percent supporting Harris.

The poll included 622 registered voters, with 31.1 percent of respondents being Republicans, 30.8 percent being Democrats, and 38.2 percent being either independents or undeclared.

[RELATED: Ten People Indicted in Connection with Massachusetts Trafficking Ring Bringing Drugs to New Hampshire…]

The Republican gubernatorial candidate Kelly Ayotte also enjoyed a slight 3.8-point lead over her Democratic counterpart Joyce Craig.

Most respondents, 52 percent, would prefer to see the U.S. Congress controlled by Republicans.

While more New Hampshirites would prefer Republicans to control Washington, a slight majority, 50.6 percent, would prefer the state government to be controlled by Democrats.

54.6 percent of respondents want the state to change from the direction it has been headed under Gov. Chris Sununu (R) since he took office in January 2017.

The poll also asked voters for their opinions on some key issues.

Nearly a third of voters, 32.1 percent, are very concerned that Craig will raise taxes if elected, compared to only 26.7 percent who said they are very concerned that Ayotte will enact a blanket ban on abortion.

Only 18.7 percent were not at all concerned about tax increases under Craig, while 31.1 percent had no fear that Ayotte would ban abortion.

Ayotte has promised that she will not change the state’s abortion laws, while Craig has tried to paint her as an extremely anti-abortion candidate planning to ban the practice in New Hampshire.

A majority of voters, 54 percent, told pollsters that they would be less likely to support a state legislator who voted in favor of allowing biological males to compete alongside girls in high school sports.

Only 15 percent would be more likely to support those legislators, while 31 percent would not be influenced either way by a legislator’s position on the issue.

[RELATED: Male Runner Dominates Maine Girls Cross-Country Track Competitions…]

The Praecones Analytica poll contrasts with a recent Emerson poll that gave Harris a three-point lead over Trump.

That poll included 915 registered voters, with 31 percent Republicans, 30 percent Democrats, and 39 percent Independents.

Both the Emerson and Pracones Analytica polls place the presidential and gubernatorial races within their margins of error.

New Hampshire has not cast its electoral votes for a Republican presidential candidate since George W. Bush won the state in 2000.

Although New Hampshire currently has a Republican governor, its congressional delegation is made up entirely of Democrats, with Senators Jeanne Shaheen and Maggie Hassan and Representatives Chris Pappas and Ann Kuster.

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Seamus Othot

Seamus Othot is a reporter for The Maine Wire. He grew up in New Hampshire, and graduated from The Thomas More College of Liberal Arts, where he was able to spend his time reading the great works of Western Civilization. He can be reached at seamus@themainewire.com

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<span class="dsq-postid" data-dsqidentifier="32129 https://www.themainewire.com/?p=32129">1 Comment

  1. Suzannah on October 28, 2024 8:35 PM

    After what our country has been dragged thru these past four years, Trump should have more than a “slight” lead. We have become a drug infested third world shit hole under democrat reign.

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